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Thread: Analisa Fundamental Commodity

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    Analisa Fundamental Commodity

    Silakan post analisa fundamental terkait komoditas disini
    Mohon baca dulu rule sebelum post ==> https://indo.mt5.com/showthread.php?...u-Sebelum-Post)

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    Komoditas sangat banyak, namun saya coba bahas Iron Ore

    Chinese iron ore futures are getting hosed, losing nearly 20% last week

    http://www.businessinsider.com.au/ch...t-week-2016-11
    ini bukan kabar yang bagus, baik buat AUD ataupun perekonomian global
    iron ore yang turun harganya bisa membuat AUD melemah karena ekspor Australia ke china masih berupa mineral
    sementara itu, harga yang turun menunjukkan aktivitas ekonomi china masih lemah, dan bisa berdampak ke perekonomian regional Asia dan global
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    sekarang kita coba lihat oil, yang kemarin naik USD 2 alias hampir 5% baik di Brent atau WTI

    Oil headed to $49, but what happens next is key

    http://technical-analysis.forexlive....s-key-20161121
    di artikel yang sama terlihat bahwa OPEC menyatakan rerata harga minyak akan berada di USD 55
    permasalahannya, apakah OPEC akan bisa menurunkan atau membatasi output? pertemuan bulan ini diharapkan demikian
    masalah lainnya, jumlah rig di USA bertambah terus, sehingga output minyak USA juga meningkat
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    IPOC 2016: 2017, Harga CPO Bakal Membaik

    http://industri.bisnis.com/read/2016...-bakal-membaik

    CPO di bursa Malaysia bertahan di atas 3000 ringgit per ton, akibat supply turun dan ringgit melemah
    namun begitu, saya kira target itu terlampaui , karena sekarang pun sudah hampir 700 USD/ton
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    Harga Minyak turun

    Future Minyak Mentah untuk penyerahan Januari turun pada jam perdagangan USA ke USD50.87 per barrel dari USD52.42 per barel, menurun 1.78%. Untuk Minyak Brent penyerahan Februari juga turun 1.93% dan diperdagangkan pada USD53.88.
    http://id.investing.com/news/commodi...gang-as-349739
    Forex is my way. Indo.mt5 is my way. Ayo sama-sama berbagi jempol dengan mengklik postingan yang bermanfaat

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    HARGA BATU BARA: Anjlok Berkelanjutan, Batu Hitam Mundur ke Harga Oktober

    http://market.bisnis.com/read/201612...-harga-oktober

    tak disangka, volatilitas harga batubara begitu tinggi, baru minggu lalu di USD 100 sekarang sudah melemah 30% ke USD 70
    sepertinya memang harga batubara idealnya di 50-60 saat ini dan 55-65 USD tahun depan
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    Pagi ini di pembukaan market crude oil membuat gap ke area 54.50 dollar dari low 52.55$ menurut terminal instaforex.
    195 pips dalam 1 jam, range yang luar biasa.
    Saya lihat hari sabtu kemarin ada pengumuman dari negara non OpEC yakni Rusia, mexico, oman dan azerbaijan untuk turut memangkas ouput di atas 500.000 barrel.

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    Sepanjang tahun 2016 ini harga minyak mentah dunia berjalan dalam trend positif dimana harga naik 40% dibandingkan penutupan tahun 2015.
    Mulai 1 januari tahun 2017 pemangkasan yang dijadwalkan akan efektif dilaksanakan dimana anggota opec memangkas produksi 1,2 juta barrel per hari dan non opec memangkas 558 ribu barrel per hari.
    Tahun depan diperkirakan harga minyak bisa naik di atas 60 dollar per barrel dengan support 50 dollar per barrel.

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    Tahun 2015 menjadi rollar coaster untuk emas.
    Harga menemui bottom di area 1049 lalu naik tajam 1366 pas referendum brexit menghasilka YEs. Kenaikan sebesar 30% dalam 1 semester.

    Lalu harga downturn di semester kedua, kemenangan trump membawa gold ke area 1150.

    Sehingga setahun gold naik 8%, kenaikan bagus dibandingkan tahun 2015.
    Banyak faktor bullish untuk gold dari geopolitik, cadangan emas hingga annual balance.
    Namun sisi bearishnya yakni kebijakan trump, bagaimanapun dollar adalah denominasi gold.
    Mesti menunggu setidaknya sampai fomc minutes pertama, prediksi hawkish sehingga bearish untuk gold di 2017.

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    .
    Pasca komentar donald trump tentang sangsi terhadap iran, ada sedikit kenaikan di crude oil yang membuat high di atas 54$ sementara brent juga naik di atas 57$.
    sedikitnya kenaikan sebab market melihat ini hanyalah perang kata kata, tidak mengrah ke invasi militer.
    Kejadian akan beda kalau mengarah ke invasi crude oil bisa ralky ke 60$ dan brent bisa ke $70.
    Iran adalah top 10 negara produsen minyak.

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