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Thread: Analisa Fundamental CHF

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    Analisa Fundamental CHF

    Silakan post analisa fundamental terkait currency CHF disini
    Mohon baca dulu rule sebelum post ==> https://indo.mt5.com/showthread.php?...u-Sebelum-Post)

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    tidak banyak analisa yang bisa dilakukan soal CHF, selain pernyataan yang terus berulang dari pejabat SNB

    SNB's Jordan: CHF remains ‘significantly overvalued’, will intervene when necessary - RTRS

    https://www.fxstreet.com/news/snbs-j...s-201611160923
    entah sudah berapa kali SNB sellau menyatakn hal yang sama, namun SNB kelihatan tarik ulur dalam intervensi CHF
    ini terlihat dari rate EUR/CHF yang selalu jadi patokan adanya intervensi atau tidak, namun seperitnya SNB masih berusaha supaya EURCHF tidak di bawah 1.07
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    seperti yang diduga, EURCHF kemarin tiba2 mucul spike up sampai ke 1.0740

    EURCHF rallies with SNB in the frame once again

    http://news.forexlive.com/!/eurchf-r...again-20161121
    jamak diketahui, SNB akan selalu berada di pasar dan siap mengintervensi CHF jika terlalu kuat melalui EURCHF
    dan tadi malam, kecurigaan muncul saat EURCHF ada spike, tetap hati2 kalau mau sell pair EURCHF
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    Spoiler Spoiler:
    .
    Angka gdp swiss di quartal ketiga nampak mendatar setelah naik 0.6 persen di kuartal kedua dengan perkiraan bertumbuh 0.3 % .
    Investasi memang naik terlihat personal capital expenditure namun nett trade minus, ada penurunan export services sebesar 0.8% imbas nilai tukar franc swiss yang masih mahal.
    Usdchf kembali naik ke atas area 1.0100.
    Last edited by acefx; 12-02-2016 at 15:19.

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    The Swiss franc weakened against its most major opponents in the European session on Tuesday amid rising European shares, as utility and banking stocks rose despite concerns about Italy's fragile banking system.

    Read more: https://www.mt5.com/de/forex_news/qu...risk_appetite_
    Selasa ini terjadi kondisi risk appetite dimana safe heaven franc swiss dijual habis oleh market walau fokus masih ke Italia dimana Presiden Sergio Mattarella menerima pengunduran diri Perdana Menteri Matteo Renzi, namun catatan baiknya, APBN tahun 2017 akan dirampungkan terlebih dahulu sehingga ini memicu kepuasan investor.
    Pair usdchf rebound tajam dari titik terendah 1.0050 ke area 1.0100 di sesi amerika ini sehingga bullish mentargetkan area 1.0200.

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    Swiss national memutuskan LIBOR rate tetap di angka minus 0,75% kemarin kamis.
    Libor rate di bawah 3 bulan tetap minus 1,25%
    Dan di atas 3 bulan minus 0,25%.

    Tidak ada yang baru dalam conference Thomas Jordan, cuma mengulang pas rilisan lalu seperti snb bukan the fed yang akan menaikkan rate dan cukup nyaman dengan possi negatif sekarang ini.
    Pair eurchf tertekan ke area 1.0720 membuka peluang ke area 1.0700.
    Resistance di ttitik tertinggi kemarin 1.0775.

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    Snb Chairman Thomas Jordan dalam wawancarany dengan Schweiz Am Wochenende, menyebutkan bahwa franc swiss overvalued signifikan.
    Suku bunga negative dan intervensi merupakan 2 instrumen tepat dalam mengatasinya.
    Eurchf terus menekan area 1.0700 jika jebol bisa menuju 1.0800,1.0900 sampai 1.1000.

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    Sekretariat Negara untuk Urusan Ekonomi (SECO) merilis prakiraan ekonomi terbaru, dengan sorotan utama di bawah ini.

    Perkiraan pertumbuhan PDB 2019 sebesar 0,8% (perkiraan sebelumnya adalah 1,2%).

    Perkiraan pertumbuhan PDB 2020, 1,7% (tidak berubah).

    Prakiraan inflasi 2019 0,5% (sebelumnya 0,6%).

    Prakiraan inflasi 2020 0,4% (sebelumnya 0,6%).

    Melihat ekspor akan tumbuh hanya di bawah rata-rata pada tahun 2019 untuk pertama kalinya dalam beberapa tahun.

    Melihat ekspor tumbuh 2,3% pada 2019 (perkiraan sebelumnya adalah 3,1%).

    Di tahun mendatang, ekonomi Swiss hanya akan mencerahkan secara bertahap.
    Klick ==>>>

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    Sentimen : Penguatan Dollar dam melemahnya Safe Heaven CHF

    Sumber Informasi Sentimen : https://www.reuters.com/article/glob...-idUSL8N27N7BH

    Isi :

    3 minggu ini Dollar Amerika tampak menguat terhadap mata uang safe heaven, salah satunya adalah Swiss Franc. Faktor yang mendorong terjadinya hal ini adalah kecenderungan investor untuk menjual Swiss Franc dan Yen, untuk mengurangi faktor resiko penguatan Dollar Amerika serikat. Terdapat sentimen penguatan Dollar amerika karena adanya kemungkinan kesepakatan perang dagang antara dua ekonomi terbesar yaitu amerika dan Tiongkok. Mentri perdagangan Tiongkok kamis kemarin mengatakan bahwa mereka seperti nya akan menemukan titik temu dari perang dagang yang telah berbulan-bulan menyita perhatian para investor. Meskipun belum ada waktu yang spesifik, kedua negara sepertinya akan segera mengeluarkan tarif bea cukai yang bisa diterima oleh kedua belah pihak.


    Analisa Pribadi :

    Sentimen penguatan USD di karenakan ramalan bahwa kedua negara adidaya ekonomi tersebut akan menemukan titip temu semakin kuat. Para Investor mulai mengalihkan dana nya dari Safe heaven. Diperkirakan jika kesepakatan terjadi dan ekonomi amerika terus membaik maka penguatan USD tidak akan diragukan lagi, tinggal menunggu beberapa lagi indiktor ekonomi yang mendorong Dana Investor kembali ke instrumen keuangan di Amerika. Jika semua faktor mendukung maka USD merupakan pilihan yang baik untuk mendiversifikasikan portfolio anda.
    Kaisar Forex

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