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Thread: Analisa Fundamental AUD

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    Analisa Fundamental AUD

    Silakan post analisa fundamental terkait currency AUD disini
    Mohon baca dulu rule sebelum post ==> https://indo.mt5.com/showthread.php?...u-Sebelum-Post)

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    Analisa AUD dari salah satu bank, Morgan Stanley

    Australia - Goldman Sachs boosts forecasts for Australian dollar and GDP

    http://news.forexlive.com/!/australi...casts-20161121
    di atas adalah prediksi untuk jangka panjang, namun untuk jangka pendek, prediksi saya masih bearish
    mengingat harga iron ore yang masih turun dan kemungkinan Fed rate, ada kemungkinan AUD melemah lagi
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    Quote Originally Posted by cancer_files     
    Analisa AUD dari salah satu bank, Morgan Stanley



    di atas adalah prediksi untuk jangka panjang, namun untuk jangka pendek, prediksi saya masih bearish
    mengingat harga iron ore yang masih turun dan kemungkinan Fed rate, ada kemungkinan AUD melemah lagi
    Makasih ya pk post nya saya udah save dan gabung dengan grup telegramnya.bisr tsu berita fundamental tisp hsri trim salam profit

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    Quote Originally Posted by Wadikshobri76     
    Makasih ya pk post nya saya udah save dan gabung dengan grup telegramnya.bisr tsu berita fundamental tisp hsri trim salam profit
    wah... ada group telegram ya ane bisa ikut gak gan ?

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    berita dari Australia hari ini : speak dari RBA

    Economic data due from Asia today (RBA speaker)

    2325GMT: Reserve Bank of Australia - Speech by Chris Aylmer, Head of Domestic Markets, at the Australian Securitisation Forum 2016
    Speech text released: Towards a more Transparent Securitisation Market
    http://news.forexlive.com/!/economic...today-20161121
    namun sepertinya tidak banyak mempengaruhi AUD, dan AUD masih sedikit rebound karena CNY menguat dan komoditas sedikti menguat
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    RBA minutes: Lowe says the weak inflation is a threat http://atozforex.com/news/rba-minute...n-is-a-threat/
    Hari ini RBA kembali menahan suku bunganya di angka 1,5%. Bingung memang menyikapi pair jika suku bunga ditahan, namun jika kita melihat minutes secara cermat kita dapat clue .
    “Members noted that data on CPI inflation for the September quarter and an update of the forecasts would be available at the next meeting. This would provide an opportunity to consider the economic outlook, assess the effects of previous reductions in the cash rate and review conditions in the labor and housing markets.”
    Boom investasi tambang memang sudah usang, kini fokus RBA ke 2 sektor utama yakni sektor tenaga kerja dan perumahan. Solusinya INFLASI RENDAH.
    Data mengenai CPI baru akan dimuat di minutes mendatang, namun dari sini saja saya bertaruh bearish ke aussie.
    AUDUSD merespon minutes dengan turun ke area 0.7431, harga malam ini 0.7455 masih dibawah pivot point 0.7463, target terdekat penurunan ke area 0.7400.

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    .
    Hari selasa pagi ini dibacakan rba minutes , notulen 2 minggu sebelumnya.
    Beberapa hal yang bisa dicatat.
    1. ekonomi akan rebound tahun depan.
    2.menguatnya A$ membuat transisi ekonomi sulit, namun perlu dicatat audusd kondisinya oversold, sudah terlampau jatuh.
    3. Suku bunga rendah sudah terlihat manfaatnya dalam menyeimbangkan hutang rumah tangga.

    Perlahan lahan audusd menemukan buyer, peluang bullish untuk hari ini.

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    Analisa fundamental AUD
    dari scedule rilis data yang akan dirilis besok pagi tepatnya pada tanggal 10/1/2017 akan dirilis data retail sales yang diprediksi akan meningkat sebesar 0.4% pada pukul 07.30 WIB
    jika rils nanti sesuai dengan prediksi, analisa saya cenderung menjadi berita baik bagi AUD, dan aud akan cenderung menguat
    jika rilis data dibawah angka prediksi analisa saya cenderung menjadi berita yang kurang bagus, dan aud cenderung akan melemah
    dan yang perlu diwaspadai juga adalah data CPI dari CNY, biasanya akan berdampak pada mata uang asia termaa AUD
    sumber data http://https://www.ifxid.com/forex_calendar

    Spoiler Spoiler:

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    Neraca perdagangam australia tidak sangka naik pesat 72% atau 3,5 milyar dollar surplus di bulan desember 2016.
    Memasuki tengah tahun 2016 terjadi lonjakan permintaan komoditas . iron ore hanya 1 bulan yakni desember bisa diekspor sebesar 1 milyar dollar.
    Audusd naik tajam ke high 3 bulan 0.7630 dengan proyeksi ke 0/7700.

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    Reuters baru saja selesai mensurvei 63 ahli ekonomi untuk rba minutes hari selasa tanggal 7 februari. Berikut hasilnya.
    16 rate cut
    6 rate hike
    41 rate hold.

    Melihat banyaknya yang hold euruad kemungkinan turun kembali di bawah round number 1.4000

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