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Thread: Analisa Fundamental CAD

  1. #11 Collapse Post
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    The Trump administration is considering an executive order on withdrawing the U.S. from NAFTA, according to two White House officials.

    A draft order has been submitted for the final stages of review and could be unveiled late this week or early next week, the officials said. The effort, which still could change in the coming days as more officials weigh in, would indicate the administration’s intent to withdraw from the sweeping pact by triggering the timeline set forth in the deal.

    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/0...w-trump-237632
    Trump mempertimbangkan untuk mengeluarkan executive order yang bertujuan untuk membuat US keluar dari pakta perdagangan amerika utara

    hal ini kemungkinan besar akan membuat CAD dan MXN kembali jatuh nilainya, karena ekspor kedua negara tersebut ke USA merupakan porsi terbesar dibandigkan dengan negara lain

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  3. #12 Collapse Post
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    Late this afternoon, President Donald J. Trump spoke with both President Pe?a Nieto of Mexico and Prime Minister Trudeau of Canada. Both conversations were pleasant and productive. President Trump agreed not to terminate NAFTA at this time and the leaders agreed to proceed swiftly, according to their required internal procedures, to enable the renegotiation of the NAFTA deal to the benefit of all three countries. President Trump said, "it is my privilege to bring NAFTA up to date through renegotiation. It is an honor to deal with both President Pe?a Nieto and Prime Minister Trudeau, and I believe that the end result will make all three countries stronger and better."


    http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/26/trump...ite-house.html
    akhirnya Trump membatalkan keinginannya untukkeluar dari NAFTA dalam waktu dekat. Akan tetapi, memang akan ada renegosiasi dalam perjanjian perdagangan supaya saling menuntungkan bagi ketika negara North America ini

    efeknya adalah terjadi penguatan kembali pada dollar canada dan mexican peso

  4. #13 Collapse Post
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    U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Friday to extend offshore oil and gas drilling to areas that have been off limits - a move meant to boost domestic production but which could fall flat due to weak industry demand for the acreage.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-us...-idUSKBN17U05E
    Trump mengeluarkan izin baru untuk melakukan pengeboran baru di area yang selama ini terlarang

    efeknya kemungkinan akan menambah jenuh pasar minyak mentah yang saat ini sebenarnya sudah over supply. hal ini kemungkinan akan membuat CAD semakin tertekan, dan UCAD mungkin akan bisa menyentuh level psikologis 1.4000

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    Markit PMI Index Kanada dirilis senin malam menunjukkan kenaikan sebesar 55.9 di bulan april, naik dari bulan maret 55.5.
    Dalam 14 bulan berturut pembacaan selalu di atas 50.0.
    Hasil semalam adalah pembacaan terkuat dalam 6 tahun.



    Hasil semalam menimbulkan optimisme kenaikan manufactur kanada yang tertinggi dalam 2 tahun terkahir.
    Usdcad menguat ke 1.3650 terbatasnya penurunan sebab trader masih ditakuti oleh retorika trump seputar nafta. Bias bearis lemah.

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    Fundamental Canada

    http://events.economiccalendar.com/events/

    Hari ini, Jum'at 5 Mei 2017, akan ada rilis data Employment Change Canada
    Employment change adalah data rilis yang angkanya memberi informasi mengenai perubahan lapangan kerja yang tersedia pada bulan sebelumnya
    Diprediksi angkanya akan meningkat menjadi 20K dari rilis sebelumnya sebesar 19.4K
    Jika hasil rilis sesuai prediksi, maka akan menjadi data yang bagus yang akan menguatkan Cad atau bearish USDCAD

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    Fundamental Canada

    Cruide oil akan mempengaruhi Cad
    Karena Canada adalah pengimpor oil US terdekat
    jika persediaan cruide oil US bertambah, maka Cad cenderung melemah
    Bullish USDCAD

  8. #17 Collapse Post
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    Fundamental Canada
    Kamis, 11 Mei 2017

    Persediaan cruide oil US yang semakin menipis akan menguntungkan Canada
    Karena Canda adalah pengimpor oil US terdekat secara geografis
    Sehingga apabila cadangan cruide oil sedikit, maka demand terhadap oil dari Canada akan meningkat
    Peningkatan demand tersebut akan menguatkan mata uang Canada

  9. #18 Collapse Post
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    Saudi Arabia and Russia said they favor prolonging oil-output cuts by global producers through the end of the first quarter of 2018, setting a firmer timeframe for a likely extension of the curbs into next year. Crude prices jumped.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...s-for-9-months
    russia dan arab saudi menyepakati pemotongan produksi migas hingga maret 2018

    efeknya adalah kenaikan harga minyak mentah, yang mendorong penguatan pada mata uang CAD

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    Analisa Fundamental CAD

    Kesepakatan OPEC untuk menambah waktu perpanjangan pemangkasan produksi oil akan menaikkan harga oil karena suppy oil otomatis akan berkurang. Kenaikan harga oil akan berpengaruh terhadap mata uang Canada mengiangat Canada adalah negara penghasil Minyak yang masuk dalam 7 penghasil minyak terbesar di dunia. Kenaikan harga oil otomatis juga akan memperbaiki kondisi ekonomi Canada yang penghasilan ekspor terbesarnya berasal dari komoditas oil. semakin baiknya kondisi ekonomi Canada akan cenderung menguatkan mata uang Canada.

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    Analisa Fundamental CAD

    Hari ini akan rilis data persediaan Cruide oil US

    Data rilis persediaan cruide oil US adalah data rilis yang angkanya memberi informasi mengenai persediaan cruide oil US. Dimana angka negatif menunjukkan terjadinya kekurangan persediaan cruide oil yang menandakan akan kekurangan pasokan cruide oil bagi kebutuhan dalam negeri US. Kekurangan pasokan tersebut akan berakibat pada naiknya demand terhadap oil yang akan berakibat pada naiknya harga oil. Kenaikan harga oil akan berefek pada menguatnya mata uang Canada yang termasuk negara pengekspor oil yang ekspor terbesarnya adalah oil.

    Jika hasil rilis masih bernilai negatif, maka akan cenderung menguatkan Canadian dollar atau bearish USDCAD.

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