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Thread: Analisa Fundamental CAD

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    Analisa Fundamental CAD

    Silakan post analisa fundamental terkait currency CAD disini
    Mohon baca dulu rule sebelum post ==> https://indo.mt5.com/showthread.php?...u-Sebelum-Post)

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    Canadian US Dollar Exchange Rate To Slide In Near-Term, USD/CAD Forecast To Climb Towards 1.37 Say CIBC

    http://www.exchangerates.org.uk/news...cast-cibc.html
    penjelasan dari bank di atas menunjukkan CAD masih bisa melemah karena faktor risk off dan data dari Canada yang tak terlalu bagus
    namun, CAD juga masih akan terpengaruh harga minyak, sehingga masih ada kemungkinan tarik menarik
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    Forex technical analysis: USDCAD tests trendline/lows from last week

    http://technical-analysis.forexlive....-week-20161121
    seperti biasanya, CAD kembali mengkuti pergerakan oil
    artikel di atas menyatakan USDCAD menuju ke support , bersamaan di harga minyak yang naik
    tetap waspadai korelasi minyak-CAD
    disclaimer, tulisan di atas bukan panduan

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    Black Frame Talent: Kontes Demotivator pada Forum MT5.com
    November 2016 Canadian Ivey PMI 56.8 vs 60.0 exp SA http://news.forexlive.com/!/november...0-exp-20161206
    PMI merupakan berita kedua terpenting setelah CPI dalam hitungan harga. Malam ini terjadi penurunan tajam di PMI kanada dimana bulan ini hanya naik 56.8 dari bulan lalu 59.7.
    Walau angka di atas 50 masih kondisi bagus , kondisi ekspansi disebutnya namun penurunannya terlalu jauh sehingga wajar jika melihat usdcad rally dari 1.3260 menuju ke 1.3300 hanya dalam 15 menit.
    Kini target bullish ke area 1.3400.

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    Pasxa kenaikan rate the fed pair usdcad naik menanjak, ditambah berita dalam negeri dimana angka penjualan manufactur selama bulan oktober ternyata turun 0.8% jauh dari perkiraan naik 0.7%.

    Menurt Bank of Canada ada 2 masalah utama yakni hutang rumah tangga dan pasar perumahaan yang tidak seimbang.
    Usdcad sudah menghapus 90% loss di desember ini dan bias menjadi bullish menuju area 1.3437 titik opening bulan ini.
    Support di area 1.3264 yang merupakan titik terendah bulan november.

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    Semalam bank of canada tetap menahan suku bunga acuan di angka 0.50%.
    Inflasi selama bulan januari sebesar 2,1% namun menurut mereka itu lebih disebabkan carbon pricing di 2 negara bagian dan kenaikan ini hanya sementara.
    Konsumsi dalam negeri stabil namun ekspor masih menghadapi kompetisi.
    Secara umum minutes bernada dovish sehingga pair usdcad naik dari 1.3310 ke 1.3345.
    Resiatance kini di 1.3400 sementara support di 1.3250.

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    Canada ivey pmi selasa malam dirilis naik 55.0 walau jatuh dari bulan lalu 57.2 namun tetap di atas 50.0.
    Di sisi lain employment index naik 54.5 dari bulan lalu 53.5 dan sudah 6 bulan nilainya di atas 50.0.
    Wajar usdcad hanya menguat sedikit ke area 1.3425 sehingga bias masih bearish ke area1.3300.

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    jumlah lapangan kerja di kanada meningkat secara signifikan dalam 4 bula berturut turut. hal ini tertahan oleh jumlah pengangguran yang meningkat, akan tetapi, ini tidak diakibatkan oleh kondisi ekonomi yang memburuk, tapi dikarenakan jumlah pencari kerja yang meningkat

    hal ini mendorong gubernur bank sentral untuk menyatakan bahwa terdapat ruang untuk pertumbuhan ekonomi kanada di masa depan

    Loss adalah kepastian. Profit hanyalah sebuah kemungkinan

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    jumlah stok crude oil di US secara mengejutkan mengalami penurunan, ditambah dengan adanya kesepakatan dari russia dan arab saudi mengenai pemangkasan output crude oil, diperkirakan akan menjadi pendorong tambahan bagi kenaikan harga minyak

    kenaikan harga minyak berkorelasi positif terhadap CAD, sehingga jika hal ini terus berlanjut, kemungkinan akan terjadi penguatan pada CAD dalam beberapa waktu mendatang

    Loss adalah kepastian. Profit hanyalah sebuah kemungkinan

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    LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Tuesday on news that U.S. shale oil output was expected to post the biggest monthly rise in more than two years, fuelling concerns that U.S. production growth is undermining OPEC-led efforts to rein in oversupply.
    The latest U.S. government drilling data showed shale production in May was set to rise to 5.19 million barrels per day (bpd), with output from the Permian play, the largest U.S. shale region, expected to reach a record 2.36 million bpd.
    Global benchmark Brent crude futures were down 26 cents at $55.10 a barrel at 0803 GMT. They touched an intraday low of $54.98, the weakest level in 11 days.
    U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures traded down 21 cents at $52.44 a barrel, the lowest since April 10.
    "EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) estimates for a combined 124,000 barrels-per-day growth in U.S. shale production over May have added another bearish element to the market," wrote analysts at JBC Energy, based in Vienna.
    More barrels could be on their way to market from U.S. shale fields as financial companies are investing billions in production, a Reuters analysis showed.
    Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries are cutting oil production by 1.2 million bpd from Jan. 1 for six months, the first reduction in eight years.
    The energy minister of OPEC member the United Arab Emirates said on Tuesday he saw healthy oil demand growth this year and believed inventories would fall.
    A preliminary Reuters poll showed analysts expected U.S. crude stocks to have fallen in the week to April 14, building on a surprise decline the previous week. [EIA/S]
    Analysts said they expected crude oil inventories to have fallen by around 1.5 million barrels last week.
    Inventory data is scheduled for release by the American Petroleum Institute at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday, followed by the official EIA report at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.

    https://www.investing.com/news/commo...-rising-474843
    produksi shale oil di USA meningkat, sehingga akhirnya mendorong harga minyak turun, dan membuat CAD melemah terhadap mata uang lainnya

    sepertinya output cut dari opec ini ibarat pisau bermata dua. kalau harga naik, shale oil bakal masuk lagi ke pasar dan akhirnya mendorong harga kembali turun

    Loss adalah kepastian. Profit hanyalah sebuah kemungkinan

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