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Thread: Anomali System (Part II)

  1. #11
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    bener juga gan...ternyata UK kondisi pondsterling untuk bulan ini keliatannya melemah...apalagi news yang keluar tadi semuanya minus...untuk GBP/USD keliatannya berlanjut untuk bearish ke level 1.61xxx..tapi ini hanya analisa aja gan..mohon dikoreksi..
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    News wire :

    sumber : reuters.com


    ada signal dari paman sam "menyeimbangkan" kebijakan financialnya dengan menaikkan suku bunga. walaupun keputusan belum bisa dipastikan.setidaknya ke depan bisa kita gunakan trigger ini untuk langkah antisipasi trend khususnya sterling ke depan.

    belum ada signal dari boe yang secara jelas akan mengambil langkah kebijakan kenaikan suku bunga. namun boe memberikan arahan jelas bahwa "isyu krusial akan dibicarakan dalam pertemuan bulan mei ke depan".

    kedua hal di atas kemungkinan akan membatasi pergerakan sterling lebih lanjut.

    untuk sementara analisa pergerakan sterling masih tetap sebagaimana dijelaskan dalam postingan sebelumnya. dengan asumsi news vaue dari the fed di atas, berarti kita mempunyai satu lagi amunisi penting berupa rumor kenaikan suku bunga di amerika itu sendiri.

    good luck everyone..

    ps. berita selengkapnya dapat di baca di link berikut ini : http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/...73B77720110412
    Alon-Alon Waton Klakon
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    Quote Originally Posted by ekajoey     
    bener juga gan...ternyata UK kondisi pondsterling untuk bulan ini keliatannya melemah...apalagi news yang keluar tadi semuanya minus...untuk GBP/USD keliatannya berlanjut untuk bearish ke level 1.61xxx..tapi ini hanya analisa aja gan..mohon dikoreksi..
    Jadi bener nih isu GU masih tetap bearish sampai di level 1.61xx minggu ini? Soalnya sampai kemarin sih masih dapat pips dari bullish.. he..he.. Dengan isu ini analisa mesti dipertajam lagi. Thanks dengan infonya gan.
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  8. #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by risman     
    News wire :

    sumber : reuters.com


    ada signal dari paman sam "menyeimbangkan" kebijakan financialnya dengan menaikkan suku bunga. walaupun keputusan belum bisa dipastikan.setidaknya ke depan bisa kita gunakan trigger ini untuk langkah antisipasi trend khususnya sterling ke depan.

    belum ada signal dari boe yang secara jelas akan mengambil langkah kebijakan kenaikan suku bunga. namun boe memberikan arahan jelas bahwa "isyu krusial akan dibicarakan dalam pertemuan bulan mei ke depan".

    kedua hal di atas kemungkinan akan membatasi pergerakan sterling lebih lanjut.

    untuk sementara analisa pergerakan sterling masih tetap sebagaimana dijelaskan dalam postingan sebelumnya. dengan asumsi news vaue dari the fed di atas, berarti kita mempunyai satu lagi amunisi penting berupa rumor kenaikan suku bunga di amerika itu sendiri.

    good luck everyone..

    ps. berita selengkapnya dapat di baca di link berikut ini : http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/...73B77720110412
    terus terang masih bingung dengan paman sam ini pak,paman sam akan menaikkan suku bunga dan mungkin program penjualan obligasi juga akan dilakukan,untuk pengaplikasian ke market nanti bagaimana pak..
    pemahaman saya kedua kebijakan itu yang satu menguatkan dan yang satu lagi melemahkan mata uangnya..
    :
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  10. #15
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    Market Breaving

    setidaknya ada 2 hal penting sudah kita koleksi soal data ekonomi uk saat ini. yakni tentang besaran inflasi yang ternyata sedikit turun pada bulan maret sebesar 4% dari perkiraan market 4.4%. yang kedua adalah unemployment claim uk yang secara mengejutkan mengalami penurunan utk pertama kali sejak 5 bulan terakhir. 2 hal itu saya nilai "menurunkan" tekanan terhadap boe utk mengambil kebijakan menaikkan suku bunga.hal yg tdk kalah penting adalah peringatan IMF terhadap zona euro yg "terlalu cepat" menaikkan suku bunga akan dapat mempengaruhi secara tidak langsung kebijakan financial paman sam.

    berikut news filter yang berhasil dihimpun :

    Spoiler Spoiler:
    LONDON (Dow Jones)--The euro remains well supported by the running themes of expected interest rate increases by the European Central Bank and reserve diversification away from the dollar, both of which are keeping the single currency propped up.

    The pound too has been in focus, and continues to hold within a tight range after falling when U.K. data released Tuesday revealed that inflation had eased back slightly.

    "Risk tolerance has had the odd wobble but remains pretty high and that is inexorably linked with the interest rate view which is keeping the euro well bid," said Neil Mellor, a strategist at Bank of New York Mellon.

    But the recent gains made by the euro and a host of other currencies perceived as riskier, including the Australian and New Zealand dollars, have been driven by ample liquidity which could mean that the chances of reversal in fortunes may be at hand, he added.

    "There may be excessive risk taking but just when that will be reversed is hard to tell," he said.

    Analysts at BNP Paribas noted that European data are taking a back seat as likely softer U.S. growth and the implications for Fed policy take center stage.

    "While the International Monetary Fund warned against too-fast rate increases from the ECB, the U.S. outlook continues to support the euro, both directly and as a consequence of euro buying by reserve managers," they said in a note to clients.

    Separately, the IMF called for greater action on the U.S. budget deficit, which puts the spotlight on president Barack Obama's speech scheduled for 1735 GMT.

    That aside, markets are also looking to the meeting of the Group of 20 industrial and developing nations this Thursday and Friday for some steer on where the Chinese yuan may be headed, especially as the debate on addressing global imbalances intensifies.

    The pound is stuck in a narrow range at lower levels against the euro and dollar, having dropped back when data Tuesday revealed a surprising fall in the rate of annual inflation. It fell against the euro and dollar as traders scaled back U.K. rate increase expectations.

    Data out Wednesday showed a stronger than expected labor market but that got little attention.

    "Sterling joins the underperformers, dipping lower on employment data though the details were encouraging. After yesterday's CPI data, markets have moved from pricing a 50% chance of a May BOE hike, to a 25% chance," Elsa Lignos, strategist at RBC Capital markets said in a note to clients.

    Meanwhile, markets continue to cast a wary eye on the nuclear crisis in Japan after incident level at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant was raised to 7, putting it on a par with the 1986 Chernobyl disaster in the former Soviet Union. But with little fresh news, the yen is stuck around Y84 against the dollar.



    walaupun bold title-nya menyatakan pengurangan tekanan terhadap boe, namun untuk saat ini, masih tetap disarankan untuk pola antisipasi next mpc meeting bulan mei dengan sell setinggi mungkin sebagaimana sudah dianalisa dari awal minggu ini.

    good luck every one..
    Alon-Alon Waton Klakon
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  12. #16
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    satu lagi ilmu baru yang harus aku pelajari dari master forex, ijin menjadi murid mister. kenalkan saya otong, trader dari majalengka. masih belajar strategi-strategi trading,, semoga saya dapat pencerahan disini, coz dua hari ini gelap terus,, banyak nilai merahnya,, o ya, aku baru di korek, eh forex sekitar 3-4 bulan..
    terima kasih mau jadiin saya murid mastah..
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  14. #17
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    Waduh mbah risman emang top markotop deh..bener guru buat forex..apa yang dianalisisnya selalu benar..lihat aja Gu ternyata menurun deh...aku coba ikutan ah,,ikutan gabung ya mbah guru..mohon didikannya
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  16. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by smallinvest     
    Jadi bener nih isu GU masih tetap bearish sampai di level 1.61xx minggu ini? Soalnya sampai kemarin sih masih dapat pips dari bullish.. he..he.. Dengan isu ini analisa mesti dipertajam lagi. Thanks dengan infonya gan.
    iya sata juga tetep prefer sell, saya mencoba analisa nya dari pola candle weekly bro. toh di tread ini dapat tambahan informasi tentang segi fundamental ini menambah yakin saya bahwa untuk minggu ini bearish tapi target pendek pendek karena ada pola side way nya. just newbie opinion bro.
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  18. #19
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    perfect analisisnya master
    mmg GU tidak beranjak bahkan hari kmrn lurus
    apkh bertahan sampai mpc bulan depan?
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    Iya nih sejak dari kemarin gu tidak beranjak dari tempatnya. Membentuk garis lurus panjang
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